SavvyAnalysis Puzzlers

 I’ve been looking at stock charts for a long time. I mean a REALLY long time – like before the Internet when they came in big bound books. I’ve also been reading music for a long time. So when the concept of engine data analysis came along, I found the concept familiar. In music, you find the prettiest notes in the middle of the instrument’s range. High notes, low notes and giant skips in pitch tend to stick out. The veteran stock chart watchers look for things like double bottoms, triple tops, breakouts, volume surges, price gaps, and compare that with everyday ordinary behavior. So what does any of this have to do with this month’s puzzler? Patterns and expectations. With engine data analysis, there are patterns we expect to see and when they’re not there we have to figure out why. What matters to a stock trader is not what the fundamentals say is supposed to happen to the price, but what buyers and sellers do with their money – and that’s what you see in the chart. In studying an orchestral score you look for melody, harmony, counterpoint and dynamics to determine what the sound will be. With engine data, we […]

Ronald Reagan used to say “Trust but Verify”. He was talking about Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles, but the philosophy works for data from engine data monitors, too. While we sit comfortably in the cockpit scanning the gauges, our data-gathering probes and cables are out there trying to work next to some hot metal in wind that qualifies as an F5 tornado. We give the data the benefit of the doubt, but sometimes the data makes us scratch our chins and look for a way to verify.  Normal, Bold, Hide and Isolate Just like snake oil salesmen don’t start their pitch with “Everything I’m about to say is !@#$%^&”, a failing probe or a loose connection will probably keep sending data and it’s up to us to separate truth from fiction. Let’s look at some examples. Take a look at the data from this IO-550-N. No, it’s not the new 3-cylinder version – we’ve set up the chart to display only the traces for EGT and CHT 1, 2, and 4. When you notice something unusual, it helps to isolate that trace, but it also helps to include a “normal” trace for comparison. If you haven’t used the chart tools, this might […]